Professional risk management tools for event contract trading. The same tools power the prediction sections across the Akte Bundesliga network — shared infrastructure, one codebase.
The Kelly Criterion calculates the mathematically optimal position size given your estimated probability and the market price. Professional traders use fractional Kelly (typically ¼ to ½) to reduce variance — the theoretical optimum is too aggressive for most portfolios. Learn the basics →
Expected Value tells you how much you expect to gain or lose per trade over the long run. Positive EV means the trade is mathematically worth making — but only if you size it correctly. A +$3 EV trade sized at full Kelly can still bankrupt you through variance.
Compares your estimated probability against the market price and classifies the edge into signal tiers. Used across the Akte Bundesliga network to flag potential value.
Pinnacle, Polymarket, and Kalshi odds flow through a central Cloudflare Worker, cached in KV, and consumed by all 22 club sites and closelook.soccer.
Squad data, match stats, H2H, injuries, and form via SportMonks API, processed by GitHub Actions cron, baked into static JSON per club site.
Kelly calculator, EV tools, and the Oracle run the same JavaScript across closelook.soccer and every Akte site. Update once, deploy everywhere.
Start with our education series to understand the theory behind these tools.